Wednesday, June 17, 2020

C19 Update with Texas and World NN


2020-06-17

Total US C19 deaths 116,963

Last five daily = [846 767 296 395 836]

Future estimates

   123822 +/- 1812  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   132793 +/- 1812  =  Aug 1

   137046 +/- 1812  =  Sep 1


2020-06-17

Total world C19 deaths 443,685

Last five daily = [4319 4267 3344 3508 6786]

Future estimates

   476193 +/- 89396  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   547452 +/- 89396  =  Aug 1

   598083 +/- 89396  =  Sep 1


2020-06-17

Total Texas C19 deaths 2,049

Last five daily = [26 15 13 17 48]

Future estimates

   2259 +/- 284  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   2648 +/- 284  =  Aug 1

   2883 +/- 284  =  Sep 1



Neural Net, a new data point a new forecast trajectory

Score =  0.985


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