C19 Update with Illinois with AR Concavity Line

Concavity line (blue dashed) connects first nonzero point to last point. When points are below the line the data is concave upward (exponential grown) as now.

2020-06-19

Total US C19 deaths 118,434

Last five daily = [296 395 836 754 717]

Future estimates

   123958 +/- 1714  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   133051 +/- 1714  =  Aug 1

   137394 +/- 1714  =  Sep 1

Total world C19 deaths 453,981

Last five daily = [3344 3508 6786 5274 5022]

Future estimates

   480588 +/- 115102  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   557175 +/- 115102  =  Aug 1

   613522 +/- 115102  =  Sep 1

Total Illinois C19 deaths 6,537

Last five daily = [19 18 72 87 52]

Future estimates

   7003 +/- 256  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)

   7729 +/- 256  =  Aug 1

   7999 +/- 256  =  Sep 1

2020-06-19

Total Arkansas C19 deaths 208

Last five daily = [ 2  3  6  9 11]