1) lognormal fit only, no point to carry on showing how logistic is incorrect, that has been established in earlier posts.
2) now two error bands are shown; light green is 2 standard deviations, dark green is 1 std dev. You can think of these bands as saying 'there is a 95% probability the future will lie somewhere in the light green band and a 68% probability it lies in the dark green band.'
3) on each plot the lower right text now includes the last 5 daily death counts for reference.
Reader request:
'Hi Chris, Thanks for sending out the daily plots, I look forward to seeing these each day as we head to the flat parts of the curves. Since you offered, it would be great to see lognormal plots for Norway, where I am currently working (from home). Regards, MC'
So today's guest country in the plot is Norway.
