Saturday, December 19, 2020

C19 Update and Prediction Test

 

Today we start a prediction test. Yesterday I introduced my 3-lognormal fit to US death data, and that plot is updated for today below. But in coming days/weeks/months the fit line will be frozen based on data through 12/19/2020 (today). We can all see together how the total and daily data hugs or drifts away from today's prediction line. 





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