Tuesday, August 11, 2020

C19 Update with India Request

 

Standard update


India request

Good Morning, Dr. Liner,
Greetings! 
I have been following your work on Neural Network for Covid-19 data and am fairly impressed with the fits you have obtained to various data. 
Many of us would be interested in seeing Neural Network applied to India Covid-19 data. As you know, India  now has a dubious distinction of being at third place in the spread of Covid-19. We are curious to know about the future growth of this pandemic here in India.
Could you  oblige me by following up on this request?
With best wishes and regards,
Dr. CHM
Mumbai, India

CLL: Here it is. First plot is data-only with world for comparison. 


The NN result is below.

India

     total           = 45257

     last 5 days = [ 857  904  886  933  861 1007  871]

Neural Network Fit

     accuracy = 189

     R-squared = 0.996125

Prediction

      56951  =  Sep 1 total deaths (day 223)