Monday, June 8, 2020

C19 with Brazil


It is in the news that Brazil will stop posting C19 numbers as a political decision (Guardian). For now, we will continue with Brazil as guest region to see if the numbers fall off.

Arkansas is getting strange again. My region is getting hot on the eve of reopening the University, at least that was the plan. (Good site)


2020-06-08
Total US C19 deaths 110,514
Last five daily = [ 995 1036  921  670  712]
Future estimates
   123406 +/- 2641  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   132354 +/- 2641  =  Aug 1
   136599 +/- 2641  =  Sep 1

2020-06-08
Total world C19 deaths 402,730
Last five daily = [5698 5189 4744 3838 3012]
Future estimates
   455814 +/- 44402  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   506301 +/- 44402  =  Aug 1
   536574 +/- 44402  =  Sep 1

2020-06-08
Total Brazil C19 deaths 36,455
Last five daily = [1349 1473 1005  904  525]
Future estimates
   63128 +/- 43354  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   92531 +/- 43354  =  Aug 1
   110462 +/- 43354  =  Sep 1