Wednesday, June 3, 2020

C19 Update with Georgia

Paper out this week on Physics Today predicting the US state of Georgia C19 death count going forward based on Complience with re-opening directives (mask, social distancing, etc). So our guest region today is Georgia for comparison.

2020-06-03
Total US C19 deaths 106,180
Last five daily = [1193  967  605  768 1031]
Future estimates
   122897 +/- 3188  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   131484 +/- 3188  =  Aug 1
   135472 +/- 3188  =  Sep 1

2020-06-03
Total world C19 deaths 380,249
Last five daily = [4690 4128 2909 3508 4706]
Future estimates
   440213 +/- 30589  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   477750 +/- 30589  =  Aug 1
   497116 +/- 30589  =  Sep 1

2020-06-03
Total Georgia C19 deaths 2,102
Last five daily = [14 17 49 41  8]
Future estimates
   2643 +/- 801  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   3093 +/- 801  =  Aug 1
   3402 +/- 801  =  Sep 1