Paper out this week on Physics Today predicting the US state of Georgia C19 death count going forward based on Complience with re-opening directives (mask, social distancing, etc). So our guest region today is Georgia for comparison.
2020-06-03
Total US C19 deaths 106,180
Last five daily = [1193 967 605 768 1031]
Future estimates
122897 +/- 3188 = Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
131484 +/- 3188 = Aug 1
135472 +/- 3188 = Sep 1
2020-06-03
Total world C19 deaths 380,249
Last five daily = [4690 4128 2909 3508 4706]
Future estimates
440213 +/- 30589 = Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
477750 +/- 30589 = Aug 1
497116 +/- 30589 = Sep 1
2020-06-03
Total Georgia C19 deaths 2,102
Last five daily = [14 17 49 41 8]
Future estimates
2643 +/- 801 = Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
3093 +/- 801 = Aug 1
3402 +/- 801 = Sep 1