Saturday, June 6, 2020

C19 Update with Brazil

Curious that Brazil's last daily count is zero, down from 1473 the day before. Maybe a weekend effect or reporting glitch?

2020-06-06
Total US C19 deaths 109,132
Last five daily = [ 768 1031  995 1036  921]
Future estimates
   123259 +/- 2859  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   132100 +/- 2859  =  Aug 1
   136267 +/- 2859  =  Sep 1

Total world C19 deaths 394,875
Last five daily = [3508 4706 5698 5189 3739]
Future estimates
   449839 +/- 37939  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   495075 +/- 37939  =  Aug 1
   520745 +/- 37939  =  Sep 1

Total Brazil C19 deaths 34,021
Last five daily = [ 623 1262 1349 1473    0]
Future estimates
   62720 +/- 50575  =  Jul 1 total (95% confidence)
   91436 +/- 50575  =  Aug 1
   108693 +/- 50575  =  Sep 1